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Back before the 2013 draft I attempted to unearth some late round dynasty gems.   Let's see how I did.

 

 

 

These players will likely not be relevant for re-draft leagues unless you have very large rosters.  But if your league allows you to make waiver claims or sign free agents during the off-season or if you had early rookie drafts then these players could be possible targets.  So now that camps are in full swing and preseason games have started, let’s have a look at where these players are at. If you’re interested the original article is here

 

Joseph Fauria(TE UCLA)

What I said: Fauria is huge, 6-7 255 lbs with long arms and big hands.  In other words he’s the definition of a red zone threat.  He played a lot of slot receiver in college so the receiving skills are there but his blocking skills are minimal at this point.  I believe Fauria will learn fairly quickly and if he goes to a team in need could win a starting job in training camp, possibly even in a hybrid receiver/tight end role.  If he goes to a pass-first offense he could definitely be a goal line favorite as soon as 2013.

Where he’s at now: Fauria was not drafted but signed with the Detroit Lions as a free agent.  Not an ideal spot for him since the Lions have Brandon Pettigrew as their number one tight end and Tony Scheffler as a capable backup receiving TE.  But if he proves to be capable of filling Scheffler’s role at a cheaper price he may beat out the veteran.  In that case he will have some value as the heir to Pettigrew who is a free agent after this year and hasn’t become the star TE many envisioned when he was drafted in the first round.

Advice: Right now I’d have to say don’t bother with Fauria unless or until you hear Scheffler is released.  Then he’s worth a bench spot in dynasty leagues but only if you have the space.  He’s still a long-shot to become a relevant fantasy TE.

 

 

 

 

Marquise Goodwin(WR Texas)

What I said: Goodwin has the kind of blazing speed that makes some scouts drool.  If the late Al Davis were still running things in Oakland we’d be talking about a potential first round pick.  But as it is most mocks are slotting Goodwin in the 4thround or later.  He’s a raw talent who was used sparingly at Texas for some reason so his game tape is limited.  But I haven’t seen anything to make me think that with some quality coaching Goodwin can’t become one of the most dangerous deep threats in the game.  Besides lack of playing time, Goodwin is also on the small side but he’s solidly built and catches the ball well away from his body.  If he gets drafted by a receiver needy team he should be at least a #3 wideout starting week one.

Where he’s at now: The Bills selected Goodwin 78th overall, a round earlier than most expected.  The most recent reports have him performing very well in camp, along with a silly suggestion that Goodwin will see a lot of time in the slot.  You don’t play a guy with sub 4.3 speed in the slot that’s ridiculous.  Best case scenario is Goodwin and fellow rookie pick Robert Woods man the outside with veteran Stevie Johnson in the slot.  2012 pick TJ Graham is also in the mix, so he and Goodwin may split playing time as the deep threats.

Advice: Definitely pick Goodwin up in your dynasty league if you need a receiver.  He may not get a lot of playing time this year but he appears to be proving himself to be NFL capable and with his speed it will get tougher for the Bills to keep him off the field.  He could be fantasy relevant by the end of this season but more likely 2014.

 

Dennis Johnson(RB Arkansas)

What I said: Johnson spent most of his college career behind Knile Davis in Arkansas, but performed very well as the lead back when the opportunity presented itself.  I don’t think he’ll ever grow into an every down back at the NFL level but as a change of pace player Johnson could be lethal.  He’s an excellent pass catcher and also blocks well so he should not be a liability in pass protection.  Possibly one of the biggest reasons Johnson’s being mocked in the 5thround by many is his fumbling issues.  If he can show in camp that he can hold onto the ball he may be given a chance as a third down back right away.


Where he’s at now: Johnson signed as an undrafted free agent with the Houston Texans.  It’s a great landing spot for him, as he runs well in a zone blocking scheme like the Texans use.  He’s gotten quite a bit of time with the first team in camp due to injuries to Arian Foster and Ben Tate.  Right now he has to be considered the front runner if not a lock for the number three RB spot and could beat out Tate for the number two spot if he performs well in preseason.

Advice: As mentioned Johnson’s not likely to become a three down NFL back so his value may be limited to a handcuff for Foster if he beats out Tate.  By all means grab him in your dynasty league if you have a bench spot for him, because he could become a 1/1A back with Foster or whoever replaces him down the road.  Or he could surprise and become a three down back you never know.

 

Matt Scott(QB Arizona)

What I said: Scott was getting talked up back in March to the point that he was looking like a possible third round selection.  The chatter has subsided though and I think he’s likely fallen back to somewhere in the fifth round.  He was great at the Combine and his Pro Day, he excels in the read option offense and is an overall impressive athlete.  He does need work on his deep throws as well as his mechanics which can be worrisome.  But if he gets drafted by a team who doesn’t need him to start this season he should develop nicely in a couple of years into a legitimate starting QB.  As for this year, well Russell Wilson was drafted as a developmental QB and look how that turned out.  Keep an eye on Scott in camp to see what happens.

Where he is now: Scott feel even further than the fifth round, to the point he was signed by Jacksonville after going undrafted.  He suffered an ankle sprain in May and since coming back there hasn’t been much chatter about him good or bad.  Scott was average in the Jags first preseason game going 7 of 13 for 51 yards.

Advice: On a team with Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne as his competition, if he was showing any sort of upside we’d be hearing about it.  But we’re not, so other than deep dynasty leagues where you can stash him for at least two years, I have to say Matt Scott has no fantasy value.

 

Chance Warmack(G Alabama)

What I said: I know, Warmack will be a first round pick so why am I mentioning him in a draft sleeper column?  Bear with me.  Warmack is probably the best prospect at the guard position to come along in the last two decades.  As a run blocker he’s a bulldozer and should have no problem creating huge holes for his running backs starting this season.  So watch where Warmack gets drafted, if that team also takes a running back late – and especially if that team is not deep at running back – move that RB up your rankings because he should have no problem running behind Warmack.

Where he is now: First off the Titans already have an established running back in Chris Johnson and didn’t draft one so forget the sleeper RB angle.  So far Warmack’s transition from college to the NFL has been ‘seamless’ according to the Titans, although he had so-so results in his first pre-season action.

Advice:  I’m excited to watch CJ2K excel behind Warmack’s powerful run blocks, so I’ve got Johnson ranked a little higher than his current early second round ADP.  And Shonn Greene should be going a little higher than the thirteenth round since he’s the goal line back who will benefit with some easy trots into the end zone.

 

Jelani Jenkins(OLB Florida)

What I said: For those of you in IDP leagues, keep an eye on Jenkins.  His draft stock is down mostly due to various injuries in 2012, but this guy is stellar.  Very athletic, fast and a hard hitter, Jenkins should open some eyes in training camp and if he goes to a team that’s a little thin at LB he could earn a starter’s job.  I do think he’d be better served as a part time player this year though, he came out a year early and could use some work on his overall game.

Where he is now: Jenkins was drafted in the fourth round by the Dolphins, so his chances of starting this season are almost nil barring injuries to the Miami starting LB’s or an absolutely amazing preseason by Jenkins.  But his skills are already evident and he’ll see the field more and more as the season goes on.

Advice: You have to pass on Jenkins in re-draft leagues but he’s definitely a dynasty asset to target in your rookie draft.  He can probably be had with a fourth round pick and is future gold at that price.

 

I also mentioned these names to keep an eye on later in the draft:

Jordan Reed(TE Florida) – I’ve seen plenty of comparison to Aaron Hernandez, if he goes to a team short on tight ends he could surprise.  Reed went earlier than I expected but Washington is a good landing spot for him.  No fantasy value in 2013 but should become at least a TE2 as early as 2014.

Lavar Edwards(DE LSU) – Would be ranked higher in the draft if he saw more playing time in college.  Edwards could be a pass rush specialist right away if not more.  Edwards went to the Titans in the fifth round and as mentioned won’t see regular playing time this season.  But a nice dynasty stash for sure.

Tavarres King(WR Georgia) – Seems to have all the qualities teams look for in a receiver so I’m not sure why he’s expected to go in the fifth round or later.  Drafted by Denver in the fifth round, has opened eyes in camp and may win the #4 WR spot this year.  If so he’s one injury away from being fantasy relevant in 2013.

Miguel Maysonet(RB Stony Brook) – Maysonet is a little undersized but showed in college he has the skills to be a successful ball carrier at the NFL level.  Signed and waived by Philly, Cleveland claimed Maysonet.  He’s likely destined for the practice squad this season.  His fantasy future is bleak at the moment.

 

 

2013 Forecast - NFC Tight Ends 

2013 Forecast - AFC Tight Ends

2013 Forecast - AFC Wide Receivers

 

 


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